Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.609413 3.116246 3.668781 4.312595 5.038787 5.829211 6.751177
2026-02-01 1.783263 2.414948 3.167074 4.115356 5.265154 6.600281 8.253117
2026-02-08 1.249085 1.918967 2.787981 3.966485 5.489622 7.357991 9.786442
2026-02-15 0.900676 1.571058 2.516561 3.888681 5.765938 8.180050 11.448227
2026-02-22 0.718380 1.407054 2.452948 4.060431 6.364435 9.440452 13.738066
2026-03-01 0.542110 1.203763 2.289769 4.058297 6.710811 10.380500 15.660251
2026-03-08 0.370382 0.954603 2.002775 3.821518 6.683878 10.792366 16.881780
2026-03-15 0.257381 0.774338 1.787926 3.656334 6.730269 11.290833 18.229728
2026-03-22 0.215736 0.728556 1.800464 3.861082 7.354346 12.651736 20.850540
2026-03-29 0.191565 0.715052 1.869799 4.167215 8.156600 14.311912 23.966599
2026-04-05 0.164795 0.685207 1.899817 4.402541 8.854370 15.841849 26.946278
2026-04-12 0.127503 0.610432 1.820873 4.424607 9.192200 16.828822 29.152893
2026-04-19 0.088325 0.509814 1.666248 4.288089 9.257651 17.409827 30.802657
2026-04-26 0.060877 0.429421 1.537995 4.183812 9.366597 18.060341 32.580316
2026-05-03 0.041198 0.361988 1.423102 4.088202 9.477832 18.712750 34.377946
2026-05-10 0.028208 0.311136 1.337618 4.041859 9.672340 19.506320 36.420057
2026-05-17 0.023268 0.299034 1.360215 4.239675 10.342000 21.123182 39.819384
2026-05-24 0.016269 0.264510 1.305325 4.250246 10.647113 22.129085 42.266405
2026-05-31 0.008614 0.207247 1.156497 4.012378 10.438836 22.234639 43.251003
2026-06-07 0.004476 0.166125 1.044756 3.845303 10.354374 22.544779 44.571362
2026-06-14 0.003650 0.163573 1.078542 4.060752 11.077707 24.319082 48.370333
2026-06-21 0.003383 0.169607 1.148773 4.380502 12.036818 26.545487 52.975137
2026-06-28 0.002823 0.168778 1.190394 4.625986 12.848373 28.526687 57.209290